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Fxmethods Treasury Desk – Global FX & Crypto Pulse - 📅 08 September 2025 | Morning Edition

  • Writer: fxmethods
    fxmethods
  • Sep 8
  • 2 min read

🌍 Forex Market Snapshot

  • USDINR: ⚡ 88.10 (record high 88.3450 hit)

  • Top Gainers: BTC/USD (+1.59%), CHF/JPY (+0.92%), USD/RUB (+0.84%), AUD/JPY (+0.74%), AUD/CAD (+0.70%)

  • Top Losers: CAD/CHF (-0.88%), GBP/CHF (-0.62%), USD/ILS (-0.60%)


📈 Fundamental Highlights

  • USDINR: Record highs driven by dollar strength, crude oil import outflows, and persistent FII selling in local equities. RBI may intervene if volatility spikes.

  • Crypto (BTC/USD): Risk appetite improves as U.S. treasury yields cool; Bitcoin consolidating above $58,000.

  • Safe Havens (CHF/JPY): Yen weakness continues as Bank of Japan signals no imminent tightening, while Swiss franc attracts flows amid geopolitical jitters.

  • Commodities FX (AUD pairs): AUD supported by stronger iron ore demand and PBoC liquidity injections; CAD softer on oil pullback.

  • USD/ILS: Shekel gains as local central bank hints at pre-emptive tightening to curb imported inflation.


🔎 Technical Outlook

  • USDINR:

    • ⚠️ Key resistance: 88.35 – 88.50 (record zone)

    • Immediate support: 87.80 – 87.65

    • Momentum: Overbought RSI (>70), but strong trendline support intact. Short-term pullbacks possible before next leg higher.

  • BTC/USD:

    • Resistance: 59,200 – 60,000

    • Support: 57,500 – 56,800

    • Bias: Bullish above 57,500; watch for breakout toward 62,000.

  • CHF/JPY:

    • Trend: Higher-high formation intact

    • Next resistance: 180.50; Support: 178.20

  • AUD/JPY:

    • RSI bullish; next target 100.40; strong support at 98.90

  • CAD/CHF:

    • Bearish breakdown below 0.6550; next support 0.6480


📰 Treasury Desk Takeaway

  • INR likely to stay under pressure near-term; hedgers should consider covering import exposures on pullbacks below 88.

  • Crypto flows positive, indicating higher risk tolerance among investors.

  • CHF & safe havens still relevant hedges amid fragile geopolitics.

  • Commodity FX (AUD, CAD) diverging → AUD strength could continue if Chinese demand holds.


Prepared by Fxmethods Treasury Desk – Insight beyond the ticker

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