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📊Fxmethods Treasury Desk – Weekly Market 21st Sept'25!!

  • Writer: fxmethods
    fxmethods
  • Sep 21
  • 2 min read

📊USDINR Weekly Overview

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  • Weekly Range: 88.26 (High), 88.35 (Open), 87.73 (Low), 88.10 (Close)


  • Weekly Performance: -0.21%


  • INR showed mild resilience, closing below 88.20 despite broad dollar firmness. The support zone remains at 87.70–87.80, while resistance is seen at 88.40–88.50. Momentum indicators suggest range-bound movement next week with a mild downside bias if DXY stabilizes.


📈 India Government Bond Yields

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  • 10-Year: 6.49 → 6.4890 (+0.09%)


  • 5-Year: 6.32 → 6.2230 (-1.44%)


  • 2-Year: 5.76 → 5.76 (-1.13%)


  • Yield curve flattened as shorter-end yields dropped while the 10Y remained stable. RBI’s liquidity stance and global bond trends will guide next week. Expect 10Y to trade in 6.45–6.52 range, while 2Y and 5Y yields may see some rebound.


💱 Major Weekly Forex Movements

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  • Biggest Gainers: EUR/NZD +1.82%, GBP/NZD +1.02%, EUR/AUD +1.01%


  • Biggest Losers: NZD/CAD -2.04%, NZD/CHF -1.77%, NZD/USD -1.61%, NZD/JPY -1.42%, AUD/CAD -1.25%, GBP/CAD -1.02%


  • The NZD underperformed sharply, hit by dovish RBNZ signals and weaker risk appetite. Euro and Pound gained on relative policy divergence. Expect further NZD weakness in the short term, with AUD also likely to stay pressured against CAD and EUR.



🌾Weekly Commodity Futures Highlights

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  • Biggest Gainers: Oats +9.18%, US Corn +6.27%, Lumber +4.22%, US Wheat +3.88%, Rough Rice +2.45%, Feeder Cattle +2.40%


  • Biggest Losers: US Coffee C -10.75%, London Coffee -10.13%, Palladium -4.83%, Natural Gas -3.22%, US Sugar #11 -2.09%, US Soybean Oil -2.03%


  • Agriculture outperformed with grains rallying on supply concerns and weather risks. Soft commodities plunged, particularly coffee on improved supply outlook. Energy was mixed, with Natural Gas sliding but crude holding firm. Projection: Grains may extend gains, but coffee and sugar could stay under pressure near term.


Fxmethods Treasury Desk Projections (Next Week)

  • USDINR: Likely 87.70–88.50 range, mild downside bias.

  • India Bonds: 10Y steady at 6.45–6.52; 5Y may bounce from lows.

  • FX Majors: NZD weakness to persist; Euro strength to continue near-term.

  • Commodities: Grains bullish momentum intact; softs under corrective phase.


📌 Strategy Watch: Hedging opportunities in NZD and Coffee for corporates exposed to import/export flows. Fixed income investors may prefer short-to-medium duration bonds as yields stabilize.



— Thank You —

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