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THURSDAY FX OUTLOOKS:- RUPEE FIRM, DOLLAR DOWN, EURO UP!!

USDINR

On Thursday, USDINR likely to commence between 82.60 – 82.70 levels as dollar to a two-week low against a basket of currencies after data showed that U.S. private payrolls rose less than expected in August, adding to expectations that the Federal Reserve would stop raising interest rates.

  • Last trading session pair intraday range was 82.6575 – 82.8175.

  • India's economy grew at its fastest pace in a year in the April-June quarter, driven by services and manufacturing, data is expected to show on Thursday, though economists warn of a slowdown ahead.


USDINR TECHNICAL

Day Trend: - BUY ON DIP

Weekly Trend: - UPSIDE SELL

INTRADAY RANGE – 82.94 (82.78 – 82.62) 82.46


THE EUROPE

The euro was at $1.0931. It has bounced from $1.07655 on Friday, the lowest since June 13. The data add to the uncertainty surrounding the near-term path of ECB policy. On balance, we think that the ECB will raise rates once more in this cycle.

  • Money markets raised their bets on a September rate hike from the European Central Bank, pricing in a 58% chance of a 25 basis-point move.

  • The single currency was boosted by hotter-than-expected inflation in Germany, a day before highly anticipated consumer price data for the euro zone.


German CPI increased by an annual 6.4% (August), down from a reading of 6.5% (July) but above the 6.3% forecast in a poll of economists surveyed.


Spain's CPI also rose to 2.6%, while core inflation fell to 6.1% from 6.2% in July.

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